Oliinyk, Ya. I. (2010). Prohnoz konyunktury rynku elektroenerhiyi Zakhidnoho rehionu [The Prognosis of Electricity Market Conjuncture in the Western Region]. Rehional'na ekonomika - Regional Economy, 57(3), 200-207. [in Ukrainian].

Authors

Resume

The main prognosis indices of Ukrainian Energy Strategy up to 2030 are analyzed. The necessity of its adjustment is stressed due to the fact that this document was compiled in 2005 and during the period of 2006-2008 the real indices of industry development differed from the predicted ones and also with regard to the crisis state of Ukrainian economy. The unreasonableness of significant capacity increasing at the nuclear power plants is substantiated. In view of the above-mentioned, the prognosis of electricity balance of Western region of Ukraine is worked out. The prognosis provides the commissioning of only one unit of 1 GW capacity at Rivne nuclear power plant, the growth of capacities (compared with 2008) at thermal power plants in 1.4 times, at combined heat and power plants – in 1.75 times, at hydroelectric power plants – in 8.5 times, at block-stations and other sources - in 5.2 times, which will increase the capacity manoeuvres in the region and improve the electricity supply conditions.

Keywords:

electricity, West Power System, prognosis of electricity balance, generation capacities, plant ratio