UDC 332.055:331.526; JEL O11, O18, R11, R12, F63
Synyura-Rostun, N. R. (2022). Ryzyky endohennoho rozvytku rehioniv Ukrayiny v umovakh viyny [Endogenous development risks for Ukrainian regions in war]. Rehional'na ekonomika - Regional Economy, 105 (3), 46-53. DOI: https://doi.org/10.36818/1562-0905-2022-3-4 [in Ukrainian].
Sources: 17

Authors



Synyura-Rostun Nadiya Romanivna

Ph.D. of Economics

Senior Researcher of the Department of spatial development of the Dolishniy Institute of Regional Research of NAS of Ukraine

Contacts: s-rnadia@ukr.net

Webpages:

Resume

The article identifies the main endogenous development risks for Ukrainian regions in war. The article specifies that the projected loss of GDP will depend on the amount of territory lost and the intensity of hostilities. Blocking the ways of commodity export became one of the means of waging war. The reasons for the reduction in export volumes, which increases the risk of losing the export potential of the regions, are revealed. The article emphasizes that the export of agricultural products and metallurgy experiences the highest rate of reduction. The increase in the duration of the war is proven to increase the risk of loss of export markets for Ukraine. The logistics problems are among the main reasons for export losses in the first half of 2022. The lack of the export routes diversification policy has become one of the biggest economic problems in the war. Obstacles to the involvement of railway transport in the export of commodity products and the preservation of the endogenous potential of the regions are outlined. The article determines that the border regions receive a significant potential for endogenous development due to the activation of transit and international railway transportation. The blockade of export routes for agricultural products increases the tension in the international food market. African and Asian countries are most dependent on the export of Ukrainian grain. Alternative directions for the development of logistic ways of product transportation are determined. The raw material nature of Ukrainian commodity exports remains a problem. The directions for the integration of Ukrainian products into international chains of added value are outlined. The industries most dependent on Ukrainian exports are identified. Strengthening the endogenous potential of the regions requires diversification of the export structure with an increase in the share of high-tech products. The further integration of Ukrainian enterprises into European and global value chains is necessary for the strategic development of the economy.

Keywords:

endogenous development, export, regions, diversification, logistics