UDC 338.24.01:314.7; JEL E20
Ivanyuk, U. V. (2023). Sotsial'no-demohrafichnyy aspekt formuvannya potentsialu rezylentnosti sotsial'no-ekonomichnoyi systemy Ukrayiny [The socio-demographic aspect of the development of the resilience capacity of the socio-economic system in Ukraine]. Rehional'na ekonomika - Regional Economy, 108 (2), 80-87. DOI: https://doi.org/10.36818/1562-0905-2023-2-8 [in Ukrainian].
Sources: 12

Authors



Ivanyuk Ulyana Volodymyrivna

Ph.D. of Economics

Associate Professor of the Department of management of organizations of the Lviv Polytechnic National University; Senior Researcher of the Department of spatial development of the Dolishniy Institute of Regional Research of NAS of Ukraine

Contacts: ivaniuk.ulana@gmail.com

Webpages:

Resume

The course and consequences of any shock is uncertain in both space and time. However, the emergence of threats and risks affects all spheres of life of a society in one way or another. At the same time, the socio-demographic sphere is a driver of the resilience capacity of the country’s socio-economic system, and, on the other hand, its qualitative characteristics are the result of the resilience of this system. Continuous regulation and efficient management of socio-demographic processes in society increase the resilience capacity of the country’s socio-economic system in the face of a global shock or threat. Meanwhile, the main public interest is to ensure the safety of each individual and well-being and stability of institutions that guarantee democracy, security, and sustainable development of society. An important indicator of the resilience capacity of Ukraine’s socio-economic system in shocks is the population’s savings. They provide insurance coverage for individuals in case of unforeseen events and contribute to the improvement of living standards. At the same time, rising income and wealth inequality, especially in times of crisis, weakens social resilience by reducing social cohesion in the long run. The socio-demographic resilience of a country can be strengthened or weakened depending on the specifics of a particular shock. The study argues that in the context of crises and threats faced by our country in recent years, the following socio-demographic characteristics weakened the resilience capacity of the socio-economic system of Ukraine the most: unbalanced socio-demographic structure of the society; high level of external and internal migration; a low share of household and business savings in their total income; the illegalization of the economy in general and the labor market in particular, the prevalence of informal employment, low wages and social protection. Today, in the context of the temporal and spatial uncertainty of a full-scale war, it is necessary to continue research on socio-demographic resilience as a strategy, the original cause of the return of people from abroad to Ukraine, and a deterrent to migration from Ukraine in the future. It is a key driver for building the resilience capacity of the country’s socio-economic system and strengthening the proactive position of authorities at various levels on IDP issues, increasing social cohesion, civic engagement, and volunteerism.

Keywords:

resilience of a system, resilience of a socio-economic system, socio-demographic dimension, capacity of socio-economic resilience

References


1. Briguglio, L., Cordina, G., Farrugia, N., & Vella, S. (2005). Conceptualising and measuring economic resilience. In Pacific Islands Regional Integration and Governance, 26-49. DOI: https://doi.org/10.22459/PIRIG.11.2005.03
2. DataBank: World Development Indicators (2022). World Bank Group: Website. Retrieved from https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
3. Mykhaylov, D. (2022). Skil’ky ukrayintsiv, yaki poyikhaly z krayiny cherez viynu, planuyut’ povertatysya – opytuvannya [How many Ukrainians who left the country because of the war plan to return – survey]. Suspil’ne News: Website. Retrieved from https://suspilne.media/386273-skilki-ukrainciv-aki-poihali-z-kraini-cerez-vijnu-planuut-povertatisa-dodomu-opituvanna [in Ukrainian].
4. Melnyk, M. I., & Leshchukh, I. V. (2022). Vplyv zbroynoyi ahresiyi Rosiyi na endohennyy potentsial rehioniv Ukrayiny [Influence of Russian Federation’s armed aggression on the endogenous potential of the regions of Ukraine]. Ekonomika Ukrayiny – Economy of Ukraine, 9, 21-44. DOI: https://doi.org/10.15407/economyukr.2022.09.021 [in Ukrainian].
5. Mulska, O. (2021). Mihratsiyni ryzyky ta zahrozy stabil’noho rozvytku natsional’noyi ekonomiky yak stratehichni ob"yekty polityky rehulyuvannya [Migration risks and threats to the stable development of the national economy as strategic objects of regulatory policy]. In Ekonomichnyy analiz [Economic analysis]: Vol. 31(2) (pp. 34-43). DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.35774/econa2021.02.034 [in Ukrainian].
6. Boyko, A. (2017). Zabezpechennya stiykosti natsional’noyi ekonomiky [Ensuring the stability of the national economy]. Zovnishnya torhivlya: ekonomika, finansy, pravo – Foreign trade: economy, finance, law, 4, 16-27. [in Ukrainian].
7. Bulek, M., & Lutsevych, O. (2020). Stiyka Ukrayina. Zakhyst suspil'stva vid rosiys'koyi ahresiyi [Resistant Ukraine. Protection of society from Russian aggression]. London: Royal Institute of International Affairs. Retrieved from https://www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files/2020-10/2020-09-17-resilient-ukraine-boulegue-lutsevych-ukainian.pdf [in Ukrainian].
8. Activity rates by sex, age and citizenship (%). Data Browser (2022). Eurostat: Website. Retrieved from https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/view/LFSA_ARGAN__custom_4620142/default/table?lang=en
9. State Statistics Service of Ukraine: Website (2022). Retrieved from https://www.ukrstat.gov.ua [in Ukrainian].
10. Structure of earnings survey: monthly earnings (2022). Eurostat: Website. Retrieved from https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/view/earn_ses_monthly/default/table?lang=en
11. Petrenko, Ya. (2010). Neorhanizovani nahromadzheni zaoshchadzhennya v mekhanizmi transformatsiyi zaoshchadzhen’ v investytsiyi [Unorganized accumulated savings in the mechanism of transformation of savings into investments]. Ekonomika Ukrayiny – Economy of Ukraine, 1, 54-59. [in Ukrainian].
12. Statystyka finansovoho sektoru [Statistics of the financial sector] (2022). National Bank of Ukraine: Website. Retrieved from https://bank.gov.ua/ua/statistic/sector-financial [in Ukrainian].